Luton Town vs Stevenage Borough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Kenilworth Road (Luton).

League One - Round 26
Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.64	1.30
Ball possession
57%	43%
Total shots
15	15
Shots on target
7	3
Big chances
3	3
Corner kicks
3	7
Passes
73% (311/424)	59% (183/309)
Yellow cards
1	2
Expected goals (xG)
2.64	1.30
xG on target (xGOT)
2.26	0.51
Total shots
15	15
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
1	7
Blocked shots
7	5
Shots inside the box
8	11
Shots outside the box
7	4
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
3	3
Corner kicks
3	7
Touches in opposition box
18	26
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	2
Free kicks
12	8
Passes
73% (311/424)	59% (183/309)
Long passes
22% (14/64)	32% (21/65)
Passes in final third
61% (72/119)	50% (68/137)
Crosses
21% (3/14)	21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.84	0.58
Throw ins
23	36
Fouls
8	12
Tackles
69% (9/13)	84% (21/25)
Duels won
68	68
Clearances
41	32
Interceptions
20	9
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
2	5
xGOT faced
0.51	2.26
Goals prevented
-0.49	0.26

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Lonwijk N. 🟨,
29', Clark J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Fanne L. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Freestone L. ⚽,
55', 1 - 1, Clark J. ⚽,
62', Lawrence E. ↓, Bramall C. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Kodua G. ⚽, Wells N. (A),
69', Roberts J. 🟨,
70', Patterson P. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
70', Phillips D. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
70', White H. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
77', Wells N. ↓, Yates J. ↑,
84', Kemp D. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
90', Freestone L. 🟨,
90+1', Roberts J. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,
90+3', Kodua G. ↓, Saville G. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Luton Town
49%

Draw
29.3%

Stevenage Borough
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

29.8%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28.9%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luton Town's performance.

Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stevenage Borough might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Luton Town - Stevenage Borough Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.14)	3.18 ↑ (3.08)	4.26 ↑ (3.37)	7.5% (9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Luton Town - Stevenage Borough?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Stevenage will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 59.8% – 94.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luton Town will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 8 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Luton is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Al Hamadi A. (Inactive) Baptiste S. (Knee Injury) Jones I. (Injury) Richards J. (Injury)
There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Luton: Makosso C. (Inactive) Naismith K. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Stevenage: Young J. (Inactive)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Luton won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Stevenage Borough?

Luton Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Luton Town?

Stevenage Borough has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Stevenage Borough were as follows:

04.10.2025 Stevenage Borough - Luton Town 2:0

Latest results of Luton Town

01.01.2026 Exeter City - Luton Town 1:0 ✺

29.12.2025 Luton Town - Leyton Orient 3:0 ✺

26.12.2025 Luton Town - Wycombe Wanderers 4:0 ✺

18.12.2025 Reading - Luton Town 3:2 ✺

13.12.2025 Luton Town - Port Vale 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Stevenage Borough

04.01.2026 Stevenage Borough - Leyton Orient Postponed ✺

01.01.2026 Stevenage Borough - Plymouth Argyle 1:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Cardiff City - Stevenage Borough 2:1 ✺

26.12.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough 0:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Stevenage Borough - Burton Albion 2:2 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	33	21	6	6	64:36	28	69
2	Lincoln	33	20	8	5	59:31	28	68
3	Bolton	34	15	13	6	45:33	12	58
4	Bradford City	33	17	7	9	42:36	6	58
5	Stockport County	33	16	8	9	46:41	5	56
6	Huddersfield	34	15	7	12	55:45	10	52
7	Reading	33	12	12	9	48:43	5	48
8	Stevenage	32	13	9	10	35:34	1	48
9	Wycombe	33	12	11	10	46:36	10	47
10	Luton	33	13	7	13	42:40	2	46
11	Plymouth	33	14	4	15	49:49	0	46
12	Peterborough	34	14	3	17	49:48	1	45
13	AFC Wimbledon	32	12	6	14	39:46	-7	42
14	Exeter	32	11	8	13	37:34	3	41
15	Barnsley	30	11	8	11	50:52	-2	41
16	Mansfield	31	10	9	12	37:35	2	39
17	Burton	33	10	9	14	38:46	-8	39
18	Doncaster	32	11	6	15	36:51	-15	39
19	Blackpool	33	10	7	16	40:50	-10	37
20	Leyton Orient	32	10	6	16	43:53	-10	36
21	Wigan	32	8	10	14	34:46	-12	34
22	Northampton	34	9	7	18	30:46	-16	34
23	Rotherham	32	8	7	17	32:47	-15	31
24	Port Vale	31	6	8	17	25:43	-18	26

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two