Result
2:0
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 11
- Referee: Bell J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | LTFC+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (131/239) | 62% (174/282) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (131/239) | 62% (174/282) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (18/60) | 16% (12/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (55/105) | 51% (69/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 89% (17/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 49 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.62 | -1.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Makosso C. 🟨,
- 40', White H. 🟨,
- 45+1', Sweeney D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 65', 1 - 0, Campbell C. ⚽,
- 68', Nordas L. ↓, Gbode J. ↑,
- 68', Andersen M. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
- 68', Richards J. ↓, Clark J. ↑,
- 68', Kodua G. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
- 69', Lubala B. ↓, Roberts J. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 0, Roberts J. ⚽,
- 80', Dabo L. ↓, Wells N. ↑,
- 83', Marschall F. 🟨,
- 84', 🟨,
- 88', Reid J. ↓, Ahadme G. ↑,
- 89', Kemp D. ↓, Phillips D. ↑,
- 90+4', Campbell C. ↓, Patterson P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Stevenage Borough
34% | Draw
30.5% | Luton Town
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Stevenage Borough - Luton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↓
(3) |
3.04 ↓
(3.25) |
2.7 ↑
(2.32) |
5.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Luton Town?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 3.
- Stevenage is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Luton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Stevenage may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Stevenage: Thompson L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Al Hamadi A.
(Calf Injury)
Brown J.
(Ankle Injury)
Jones I.
(Back Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Odoffin H.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Stevenage: Pattenden J.
(Inactive)
Phillips D.
(Inactive)
Young J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Luton: Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Walsh L.
(Shoulder Injury)
Walters R.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Luton Town?
Stevenage Borough has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Stevenage Borough?
Luton Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Luton Town were as follows:
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
Latest results of Luton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stevenage | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:13 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Cardiff | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Lincoln | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Stockport County | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Bolton | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 17 |
| 9 | Barnsley | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | Doncaster | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Luton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
| 13 | Northampton | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | Wigan | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Plymouth | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 |
| 16 | Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 17 | Exeter | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
| 18 | Leyton Orient | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
| 19 | Reading | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 20 | Wycombe | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 9 |
| 21 | Burton | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 9 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 8 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
