Result
2:1
10/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 26
- Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.64 | 1.30 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (311/424) | 59% (183/309) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.64 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (311/424) | 59% (183/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 22% (14/64) | 32% (21/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (72/119) | 50% (68/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 84% (21/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 2.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Lonwijk N. 🟨,
- 29', Clark J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Fanne L. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
- 53', 0 - 1, Freestone L. ⚽,
- 55', 1 - 1, Clark J. ⚽,
- 62', Lawrence E. ↓, Bramall C. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 1, Kodua G. ⚽, Wells N. (A),
- 69', Roberts J. 🟨,
- 70', Patterson P. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
- 70', Phillips D. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
- 70', White H. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
- 77', Wells N. ↓, Yates J. ↑,
- 84', Kemp D. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
- 90', Freestone L. 🟨,
- 90+1', Roberts J. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,
- 90+3', Kodua G. ↓, Saville G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Luton Town
49% | Draw
29.3% | Stevenage Borough
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Luton Town - Stevenage Borough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(2.14) |
3.18 ↑
(3.08) |
4.26 ↑
(3.37) |
7.5%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Stevenage Borough?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Stevenage will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 59.8% – 94.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luton Town will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 8 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Luton is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Al Hamadi A.
(Inactive)
Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Jones I.
(Injury)
Richards J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Luton: Makosso C.
(Inactive)
Naismith K.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Stevenage: Young J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Luton won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Stevenage Borough?
Luton Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Luton Town?
Stevenage Borough has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
04.10.2025
Stevenage Borough
-
Luton Town
2:0
Latest results of Luton Town
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 43:25 | 18 | 52 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 40:26 | 14 | 48 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 34:25 | 9 | 46 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 34:30 | 4 | 42 |
| 5 | Huddersfield | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 45:35 | 10 | 39 |
| 6 | Bolton | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 32:25 | 7 | 39 |
| 7 | Luton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 35:30 | 5 | 38 |
| 8 | Stevenage | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 27:20 | 7 | 37 |
| 9 | Reading | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 32:28 | 4 | 35 |
| 10 | Peterborough | 25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 33:34 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 33 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 31:28 | 3 | 32 |
| 13 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:33 | -6 | 31 |
| 14 | Exeter | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 25:23 | 2 | 30 |
| 15 | Wigan | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Plymouth | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 30 |
| 17 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 29 |
| 18 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 19 | Blackpool | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 31:37 | -6 | 29 |
| 20 | Northampton | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 22:28 | -6 | 29 |
| 21 | Burton | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 23:34 | -11 | 27 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 22:35 | -13 | 24 |
| 23 | Doncaster | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 18:31 | -13 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
