Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/12/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Scotiabank Arena (Toronto, ON).

NHL
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV3
Slovakia	Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Amazon Prime Video, NHL.tv

Match Stats


Shots on Goal
24	29
Shots off target
14	12
Shooting PCT
8.33% (2/24)	0% (0/29)
Blocked Shots
9	14
Goalkeeper Saves
29	22
Saves PCT
100% (29/29)	95.65% (22/23)
Penalties
4	5
PIM
22	24
Power-play Goals
0	0
Shorthanded Goals
0	0
Power-play PCT
0% (0/5)	0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)	100% (5/5)
Hits
20	16
Faceoffs Won
30	25
Faceoffs %
54.55	45.45
Giveaways
10	18
Takeaways
9	4
Empty Net Goals
1	0

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Period (1 - 0)
09:26, Finley J. (2 min),
16:26, 1 - 0, Rielly M. (G), Cowan E. (A), Tavares J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
18:43, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
03:00, Joshua D. (5 min),
03:00, Crozier M. (5 min),
03:00, Goncalves G. (5 min),
03:00, McMann B. (5 min),
03:00, McMann B. (10 min),
15:03, Guentzel J. (2 min),
19:59, 2 - 0, Matthews A. (G),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Toronto Maple Leafs
35.5%

Draw
22.2%

Tampa Bay Lightning
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

22.9%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

22.6%

35.4%

Toronto Maple Leafs - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.29)	4.31 ↑ (4.13)	2.28 ↓ (2.64)	4.9% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Tampa Bay Lightning?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 47.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.9% – 69.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B. (Lower-Body Injury) Tanev C. (Upper-Body Injury) Woll J. (Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in Tampa Bay: Cernak E. (Injury) Kucherov N. (Injury) McDonagh R. (Injury) Vasilevski A. (Injury)
There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Douglas C. (Injury) James D. (Injury) Point B. (Injury)
We predict that Toronto will win today's game, with odds of 2.49.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 76:67. (average 3.8:3.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:33. (average 3.8:3.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against Tampa Bay Lightning?

Toronto Maple Leafs has won 11 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Lightning won against Toronto Maple Leafs?

Tampa Bay Lightning has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:

09.04.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4

20.01.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Tampa Bay Lightning 5:3

30.11.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:5

21.10.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Tampa Bay Lightning 5:2

17.04.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Toronto Maple Leafs 6:4

Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs

06.12.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens 1:2 ✺

04.12.2025 Carolina Hurricanes - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:5 ✺

02.12.2025 Florida Panthers - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:4 ✺

29.11.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:7 ✺

28.11.2025 Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:2 ✺

Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning

06.12.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - New York Islanders 0:2 ✺

04.12.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins 3:4 ✺

02.12.2025 New York Islanders - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:1 ✺

29.11.2025 New York Rangers - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:4 ✺

28.11.2025 Detroit Red Wings - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:6 ✺

NHL Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Colorado Avalanche	43	29	3	7	4	175:99	71
2	Dallas Stars	44	22	4	8	10	153:124	60
3	Minnesota Wild	45	18	8	8	11	143:121	60
4	Vegas Golden Knights	42	14	5	12	11	133:132	50
5	Edmonton Oilers	44	17	5	6	16	149:148	50
6	Seattle Kraken	42	14	6	8	14	117:123	48
7	San Jose Sharks	43	12	10	3	18	136:151	47
8	Utah Mammoth	45	16	6	3	20	137:127	47
9	Los Angeles Kings	43	12	6	10	15	115:122	46
10	Anaheim Ducks	44	13	8	3	20	147:163	45
11	Nashville Predators	43	14	6	4	19	122:143	44
12	Chicago Blackhawks	44	14	4	7	19	126:142	43
13	St. Louis Blues	45	17	0	8	20	112:157	42
14	Calgary Flames	44	14	4	4	22	114:134	40
15	Winnipeg Jets	43	14	2	5	22	126:135	37
16	Vancouver Canucks	43	10	6	5	22	121:153	37

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Carolina Hurricanes	44	18	9	3	14	152:133	57
2	Montreal Canadiens	44	16	9	6	13	151:144	56
3	Detroit Red Wings	45	19	7	4	15	141:142	56
4	Tampa Bay Lightning	42	21	5	3	13	146:112	55
5	New York Islanders	44	16	8	5	15	130:122	53
6	Philadelphia Flyers	42	15	7	8	12	130:120	52
7	Washington Capitals	45	21	2	6	16	148:130	52
8	Pittsburgh Penguins	42	17	4	9	12	139:132	51
9	Buffalo Sabres	42	17	6	4	15	135:131	50
10	Boston Bruins	45	17	7	2	19	151:146	50
11	Toronto Maple Leafs	43	16	5	7	15	143:140	49
12	Florida Panthers	43	19	3	3	18	132:140	47
13	New Jersey Devils	44	15	7	2	20	115:137	46
14	New York Rangers	46	13	7	6	20	120:135	46
15	Ottawa Senators	43	15	5	5	18	139:145	45
16	Columbus Blue Jackets	43	11	7	7	18	132:147	43

Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )