Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
2:0
08/12/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldAmazon Prime Video, NHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2429
Shots off target
1412
Shooting PCT
8.33% (2/24)0% (0/29)
Blocked Shots
914
Goalkeeper Saves
2922
Saves PCT
100% (29/29)95.65% (22/23)
Penalties
45
PIM
2224
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/5)0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)100% (5/5)
Hits
2016
Faceoffs Won
3025
Faceoffs %
54.5545.45
Giveaways
1018
Takeaways
94
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 09:26, Finley J. (2 min),
  • 16:26, 1 - 0, Rielly M. (G), Cowan E. (A), Tavares J. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 18:43, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 03:00, Joshua D. (5 min),
  • 03:00, Crozier M. (5 min),
  • 03:00, Goncalves G. (5 min),
  • 03:00, McMann B. (5 min),
  • 03:00, McMann B. (10 min),
  • 15:03, Guentzel J. (2 min),
  • 19:59, 2 - 0, Matthews A. (G),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto Maple Leafs
35.5%		Draw
22.2%		Tampa Bay Lightning
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 22.9% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 22.6% 35.4%

Toronto Maple Leafs - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.65 ↑
(2.29)		 4.31 ↑
(4.13)		 2.28 ↓
(2.64)		 4.9%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Tampa Bay Lightning?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 47.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.9% – 69.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5, OT - Toronto (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 5 - 50%). Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B. (Lower-Body Injury) Tanev C. (Upper-Body Injury) Woll J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Cernak E. (Injury) Kucherov N. (Injury) McDonagh R. (Injury) Vasilevski A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Douglas C. (Injury) James D. (Injury) Point B. (Injury)
    • We predict that Toronto will win today's game, with odds of 2.49.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 76:67. (average 3.8:3.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:33. (average 3.8:3.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4
    20.01.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Tampa Bay Lightning 5:3
    30.11.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:5
    21.10.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Tampa Bay Lightning 5:2
    17.04.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Toronto Maple Leafs 6:4
    Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
    06.12.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens 1:2 ✺
    04.12.2025 Carolina Hurricanes - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:5 ✺
    02.12.2025 Florida Panthers - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:4 ✺
    29.11.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:7 ✺
    28.11.2025 Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:2 ✺
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
    06.12.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - New York Islanders 0:2 ✺
    04.12.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins 3:4 ✺
    02.12.2025 New York Islanders - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:1 ✺
    29.11.2025 New York Rangers - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:4 ✺
    28.11.2025 Detroit Red Wings - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:6 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche5433399208:13681
    2Minnesota Wild5721121014190:16476
    3Dallas Stars56276914188:15675
    4Vegas Golden Knights551871416182:17664
    5Edmonton Oilers57217821195:19064
    6Anaheim Ducks561812323185:19563
    7Utah Mammoth56227423179:15662
    8Seattle Kraken55206920158:16361
    9Los Angeles Kings541491417143:15360
    10San Jose Sharks541611423169:18958
    11Nashville Predators55197623162:18858
    12Chicago Blackhawks56175925154:18153
    13Winnipeg Jets55202825159:17052
    14Calgary Flames55184627138:16650
    15St. Louis Blues56191927143:19849
    16Vancouver Canucks56126632147:20542


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Tampa Bay Lightning54279414193:13976
    2Carolina Hurricanes562510615195:16376
    3Detroit Red Wings572310618173:17172
    4Buffalo Sabres56266618193:17170
    5Montreal Canadiens562011817194:18670
    6Pittsburgh Penguins552441215187:16768
    7Boston Bruins56248420191:17768
    8New York Islanders572110521166:16167
    9Columbus Blue Jackets55199720175:17763
    10Toronto Maple Leafs57198921188:19463
    11Washington Capitals58235723185:17563
    12Ottawa Senators56225722189:18361
    13Philadelphia Flyers551871020166:17860
    14Florida Panthers55235324168:18159
    15New Jersey Devils561810226145:17258
    16New York Rangers56148628151:17850

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