Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy
Result
1:0
15/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.530.55
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
76% (286/378)81% (309/383)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.530.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.600.32
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1317
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1715
Passes
76% (286/378)81% (309/383)
Long passes
52% (33/63)36% (18/50)
Passes in final third
60% (75/126)68% (58/85)
Crosses
0% (0/14)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.84
Throw-ins
2517
Fouls
1517
Tackles
63% (10/16)64% (7/11)
Duels won
5855
Clearances
2437
Interceptions
24
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.320.60
Goals prevented
0.32-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Morishige M. 🟨,
  • 43', Marcelo Ryan 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', 1 - 0, Nagakura M. , Marcelo Ryan (A),
  • 60', Marcelo Ryan , Ogashiwa T. ,
  • 60', Endo K. , Sato K. ,
  • 64', Saito K. , Fukuda Y. ,
  • 64', Inami T. , Kumatoriya I. ,
  • 75', Toyama S. , Uchida Y. ,
  • 75', Someno I. , Teranuma S. ,
  • 84', Muroya S. , Anzai S. ,
  • 85', Ogashiwa T. , Nozawa L. ,
  • 86', Hirakawa R. 🟨,
  • 90', Hirakawa R. , Meshino S. ,
  • 90', Nagakura M. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Ko T. , Koizumi K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tokyo
38.9%
Draw
31.4%
Tokyo Verdy
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 30.9% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 29% 29.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.29)
    2.99
    (3.03)
    3.16
    (3.33)
    6.5%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo: 23.4%70.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 2 - 50%). Tokyo Verdy (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 16 and 15)
    • Tokyo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tokyo Verdy is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Tokyo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Knee Injury) Ogashiwa T. (Shoulder Injury) Shirai K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Matsuhashi Y. (Yellow Cards) Yamada G. (Knee Injury) Yamami H. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy were as follows:
    02.04.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Tokyo 2:2
    17.08.2024 Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy 0:0
    13.04.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Tokyo 2:2
    12.07.2023 Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy 2:1
    Latest results of Tokyo
    31.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo 1:1
    27.08.2025 Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1
    24.08.2025 Tokyo - Kyoto Sanga 0:4
    16.08.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 2:2
    10.08.2025 Tokyo - Kashima Antlers 0:1
    Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers35207853:292467
    2Kashiwa Reysol351812555:332266
    3Kyoto351711759:372262
    4Vissel Kobe35188945:301562
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima351781039:261359
    6Machida351691049:351457
    7Kawasaki Frontale351511965:501556
    8Urawa Reds3514111040:36453
    9Gamba Osaka351651448:52-453
    10Cerezo Osaka3513101254:50449
    11FC Tokyo351291439:47-845
    12Avispa Fukuoka3511111333:37-444
    13Shimizu S-Pulse3511111339:44-544
    14Verdy351191522:36-1442
    15Okayama351181631:40-941
    16Nagoya Grampus3510101542:52-1040
    17Yokohama F. Marinos351071839:44-537
    18Yokohama FC35881923:41-1832
    19Shonan Bellmare35682129:59-3026
    20Albirex Niigata ✔ 354112032:58-2623

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League