Result
1:0
15/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (286/378) | 81% (309/383) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (286/378) | 81% (309/383) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (33/63) | 36% (18/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (75/126) | 68% (58/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/14) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Morishige M. 🟨,
- 43', Marcelo Ryan 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', 1 - 0, Nagakura M. ⚽, Marcelo Ryan (A),
- 60', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Ogashiwa T. ↑,
- 60', Endo K. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
- 64', Saito K. ↓, Fukuda Y. ↑,
- 64', Inami T. ↓, Kumatoriya I. ↑,
- 75', Toyama S. ↓, Uchida Y. ↑,
- 75', Someno I. ↓, Teranuma S. ↑,
- 84', Muroya S. ↓, Anzai S. ↑,
- 85', Ogashiwa T. ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
- 86', Hirakawa R. 🟨,
- 90', Hirakawa R. ↓, Meshino S. ↑,
- 90', Nagakura M. 🟨,
- 90+7', Ko T. ↓, Koizumi K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tokyo
38.9% | Draw
31.4% | Tokyo Verdy
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.29) |
2.99 ↓
(3.03) |
3.16 ↓
(3.33) |
6.5%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo: 23.4% – 70.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 2 - 50%). Tokyo Verdy (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 16 and 15)
- Tokyo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tokyo Verdy is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Tokyo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y.
(Knee Injury)
Ogashiwa T.
(Shoulder Injury)
Shirai K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Matsuhashi Y.
(Yellow Cards)
Yamada G.
(Knee Injury)
Yamami H.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Tokyo Verdy?
Tokyo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Tokyo?
Tokyo Verdy has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy were as follows:
02.04.2025
Tokyo Verdy
-
Tokyo
2:2
17.08.2024
Tokyo
-
Tokyo Verdy
0:0
13.04.2024
Tokyo Verdy
-
Tokyo
2:2
12.07.2023
Tokyo
-
Tokyo Verdy
2:1
Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 33 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 65 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 57:35 | 22 | 60 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 48:33 | 15 | 60 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 60 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 39:23 | 16 | 58 |
| 6 | Machida | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 60:45 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 40:32 | 8 | 52 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 46:47 | -1 | 50 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 50:49 | 1 | 43 |
| 11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 35:39 | -4 | 41 |
| 12 | Okayama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 29:35 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | FC Tokyo | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 36:46 | -10 | 41 |
| 14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 40 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 40:48 | -8 | 39 |
| 16 | Verdy | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 21:35 | -14 | 39 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 32:44 | -12 | 31 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 21:37 | -16 | 31 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 28:57 | -29 | 25 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 30:55 | -25 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
