Result
3:1
17/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 20
- Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.42 | 0.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (441/490) | 77% (182/237) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.42 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 0.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (441/490) | 77% (182/237) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (22/37) | 43% (23/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 86% (166/194) | 60% (39/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (3/25) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 40% (6/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 2.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.71 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, D'Alessandro M. ⚽, Iemmello P. (A),
- 18', 1 - 1, Busio G. ⚽, Adorante A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', Svoboda M. 🟨,
- 62', Pittarello F. 🟨,
- 65', D'Alessandro M. ↓, Verrengia B. ↑,
- 73', Verrengia B. 🟥,
- 77', Pittarello F. ↓, Di Chiara G. ↑,
- 77', Cisse A. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
- 77', Korac S. ↓, Compagnon M. ↑,
- 84', Matias Antonini 🟨,
- 86', 2 - 1, Adorante A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 87', Brighenti N. ↓, Liberali M. ↑,
- 87', Pontisso S. ↓, Buglio D. ↑,
- 90+1', Adorante A. ↓, Venturi M. ↑,
- 90+1', Yeboah J. ↓, Casas A. ↑,
- 90+2', Cassandro T. 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 1, Casas A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Venezia
62.1% | Draw
22.5% | Catanzaro
15.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Venezia - Catanzaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.56) |
4.13 ↑
(4) |
6.05 ↑
(5.54) |
7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Venezia - Catanzaro?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 44.1% – 94.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Venezia (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Venezia will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Venezia (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Venezia has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Catanzaro is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Venezia is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Venezia: Bjarkason B.
(Inactive)
Conde C.
(Broken Leg)
Franjic B.
(Injury)
Plizzari A.
(Inactive)
Schingtienne J.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Catanzaro: Bashi E.
(Inactive)
Di Francesco F.
(Inactive)
Frosinini R.
(Red Card)
Oudin R.
(Inactive)
Petriccione J.
(Yellow Cards)
Pompetti M.
(Shin Injury)
- We predict that Venezia will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Venezia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Venezia won against Catanzaro?
Venezia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Venezia?
Catanzaro has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Venezia - Catanzaro were as follows:
02.11.2025
Catanzaro
-
Venezia
2:1
01.05.2024
Catanzaro
-
Venezia
3:2
10.11.2023
Venezia
-
Catanzaro
2:1
Latest results of Venezia
Latest results of Catanzaro
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 64:27 | 37 | 68 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 62:32 | 30 | 65 |
| 3 | Monza | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 50:26 | 24 | 65 |
| 4 | Palermo | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 52:27 | 25 | 61 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 49:38 | 11 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42:25 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 38:38 | 0 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 41:47 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 39 |
| 10 | Avellino | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 37:51 | -14 | 39 |
| 11 | Sudtirol | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 34:35 | -1 | 38 |
| 12 | Empoli | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 43:47 | -4 | 36 |
| 13 | Padova | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Mantova | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 36:48 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:45 | -14 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 30:50 | -20 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 31:46 | -15 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 30:49 | -19 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 43:58 | -15 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
