Result
2:1
11/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 33
- Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (374/440) | 82% (337/412) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (374/440) | 82% (337/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (15/35) | 59% (30/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (99/131) | 68% (74/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.77 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 41 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 33 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 2.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.79 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Maggiore G. ⚽, Favasuli C. (A),
- 18', 1 - 1, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Magnani G. 🟨,
- 52', Favasuli C. 🟨,
- 73', Falletti C. ↓, Bellomo N. ↑,
- 73', Lasagna K. ↓, Bonfanti N. ↑,
- 79', Verre V. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
- 79', Brunori M. ↓, Insigne R. ↑,
- 81', Maita M. ↓, Oliveri A. ↑,
- 81', Favasuli C. ↓, Favilli A. ↑,
- 84', Lund K. 🟨,
- 87', Pierozzi N. ↓, Diakite S. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 1, Simic L. ⚽, Bellomo N. (A),
- 90', Ranocchia F. ↓, Di Mariano F. ↑,
- 90', Lund K. ↓, Le Douaron J. ↑,
- 90+2', Maiello R. ↓, Vicari F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bari
33.5% | Draw
30.2% | Palermo
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-1.2%)The ML Model estimate for Palermo aligns with the current prediction.
Bari - Palermo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↓
(2.85) |
3.09 ↑
(2.95) |
2.57 ↑
(2.55) |
7.1%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bari - Palermo?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Palermo will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bari won 0.
- Recent matches Bari is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Palermo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Bari: Lella N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Palermo: Di Francesco F.
(Inactive)
Gomis A.
(Injury)
Nikolaou D.
(Inactive)
Segre J.
(Yellow Cards)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Bari won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 8:19 (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bari won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:9 (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Palermo?
Bari has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Bari?
Palermo has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bari - Palermo were as follows:
26.12.2024
Palermo
-
Bari
1:0
02.02.2024
Palermo
-
Bari
3:0
18.08.2023
Bari
-
Palermo
0:0
20.01.2023
Palermo
-
Bari
1:0
Latest results of Palermo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cesena | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Sudtirol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Modena | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Frosinone | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Carrarese | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Monza | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Venezia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Palermo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Reggiana | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Empoli | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Mantova | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Entella | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Juve Stabia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 | Catanzaro | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 15 | Bari | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Avellino | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Padova | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Spezia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Pescara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
