Result
2:0
19/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 4
- Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (301/382) | 84% (358/424) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.92 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (301/382) | 84% (358/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (21/53) | 53% (21/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (98/146) | 69% (44/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (9/32) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Darboe E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 58', Darboe E. ↓, Pagano R. ↑,
- 59', Moncini G. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
- 68', Palumbo A. ↓, Gomes C. ↑,
- 72', Brunori M. ↓, Le Douaron J. ↑,
- 72', Gyasi E. ↓, Diakite S. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 0, Le Douaron J. ⚽,
- 81', Verreth M. 🟨,
- 82', Ranocchia F. ↓, Blin A. ↑,
- 82', Segre J. ↓, Giovane S. ↑,
- 83', Castrovilli G. ↓, Antonucci M. ↑,
- 83', Braunoder M. ↓, Cerri L. ↑,
- 90', Dorval M. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 0, Gomes C. ⚽, Pohjanpalo J. (A),
- 90+5', Nikolaou D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Palermo
55.4% | Draw
26% | Bari
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Palermo - Bari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.87) |
3.22 ↓
(3.5) |
4.39 ↓
(4.45) |
18.4%
(4.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Palermo - Bari?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Palermo (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Palermo will win
(18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 3.
- Palermo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Bari has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Palermo is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Palermo: Bardi F.
(Inactive)
Gomis A.
(Arm Injury)
- There will not play in Bari: Cerri L.
(Inactive)
Gytkjaer C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palermo won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.3:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Bari?
Palermo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Palermo?
Bari has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - Bari were as follows:
11.04.2025
Bari
-
Palermo
2:1
26.12.2024
Palermo
-
Bari
1:0
02.02.2024
Palermo
-
Bari
3:0
18.08.2023
Bari
-
Palermo
0:0
20.01.2023
Palermo
-
Bari
1:0
Latest results of Palermo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | Palermo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Cesena | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Avellino | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Sudtirol | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Venezia | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Juve Stabia | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Monza | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Padova | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | Catanzaro | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Reggiana | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Entella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Empoli | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Pescara | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Mantova | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Bari | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
| 19 | Spezia | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
