Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

City Light Stadium (Okayama).

J1 League - Round 34
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.58	1.94
Ball Possession
36%	64%
Total shots
13	14
Shots on target
3	6
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	5
Passes
71% (189/268)	83% (422/509)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58	1.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.22	1.54
Total shots
13	14
Shots on target
3	6
Shots off target
9	6
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
6	10
Shots outside the Box
7	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
15	28
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
4	14
Passes
71% (189/268)	83% (422/509)
Long passes
43% (22/51)	42% (25/59)
Passes in final third
69% (79/114)	67% (100/150)
Crosses
22% (5/23)	29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.50	1.23
Throw-ins
18	28
Fouls
14	4
Tackles
47% (8/17)	58% (7/12)
Duels won
45	45
Clearances
18	25
Interceptions
8	5
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	2
xGOT faced
1.54	0.22
Goals prevented
0.54	-0.78

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Lucao (Own goal),
32', 1 - 1, Sato R. ⚽, Miyamoto E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
55', Brodersen S. 🟥,
57', Matsumoto M. ↓, Kawanami G. ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Rafael Ratao ⚽,
68', Lucao ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
68', Miyamoto E. ↓, Tabei R. ↑,
69', Homma S. ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,
73', Ohata A. ↓, Takahashi N. ↑,
76', Esaka A. ↓, Ichimi K. ↑,
85', Thiago Andrade ↓, Sakata R. ↑,
85', Okuda H. ↓, Cools D. ↑,
85', Kida H. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
90+3', Shindo R. 🟨,
90+6', Cools D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Fagiano Okayama
32.4%

Draw
27.8%

Cerezo Osaka
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

27.3%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

26.3%

40.8%

Fagiano Okayama - Cerezo Osaka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.1)	3.41 ↓ (3.45)	2.37 ↑ (2.23)	5% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama - Cerezo Osaka?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Okayama: 19% – 81%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 0.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Cerezo Osaka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Noborizato K. (Knee Injury) Uejo S. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Okayama: Kimura T. (Injury) Miyamoto E. (Injury)
There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Takahashi N. (Foot Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Okayama won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Cerezo Osaka?

Fagiano Okayama has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Fagiano Okayama?

Cerezo Osaka has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fagiano Okayama - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:

02.04.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama 2:1

Latest results of Fagiano Okayama

04.10.2025 Albirex Niigata - Fagiano Okayama 1:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Machida Zelvia - Fagiano Okayama 1:0 ✺

23.09.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Yokohama FC 0:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama 4:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Nagoya Grampus 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Cerezo Osaka

04.10.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Cerezo Osaka 2:1 ✺

28.09.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga 1:2 ✺

23.09.2025 Kashima Antlers - Cerezo Osaka 3:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka 2:4 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2026

East

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Mito	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
2	Verdy	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
3	Yokohama F. Marinos	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
4	Kawasaki Frontale	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
5	Kashiwa Reysol	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
6	Chiba	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
7	Urawa Reds	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
8	FC Tokyo	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
9	Kashima Antlers	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
10	Machida	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

West

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Avispa Fukuoka	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
2	Cerezo Osaka	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
3	Kyoto	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
4	Nagoya Grampus	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
5	Shimizu S-Pulse	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
6	Vissel Kobe	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
7	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
8	Gamba Osaka	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
9	Okayama	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
10	V-Varen Nagasaki	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

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