Result
1:2
18/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 34
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (189/268) | 83% (422/509) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (189/268) | 83% (422/509) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (22/51) | 42% (25/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (79/114) | 67% (100/150) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.54 | -0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Lucao (Own goal),
- 32', 1 - 1, Sato R. ⚽, Miyamoto E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
- 55', Brodersen S. 🟥,
- 57', Matsumoto M. ↓, Kawanami G. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 2, Rafael Ratao ⚽,
- 68', Lucao ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
- 68', Miyamoto E. ↓, Tabei R. ↑,
- 69', Homma S. ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,
- 73', Ohata A. ↓, Takahashi N. ↑,
- 76', Esaka A. ↓, Ichimi K. ↑,
- 85', Thiago Andrade ↓, Sakata R. ↑,
- 85', Okuda H. ↓, Cools D. ↑,
- 85', Kida H. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
- 90+3', Shindo R. 🟨,
- 90+6', Cools D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fagiano Okayama
32.4% | Draw
27.8% | Cerezo Osaka
39.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+1%)
Fagiano Okayama - Cerezo Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.98 ↓
(3.1) |
3.41 ↓
(3.45) |
2.37 ↑
(2.23) |
5%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama - Cerezo Osaka?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Okayama: 19% – 81%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 0.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Cerezo Osaka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Noborizato K.
(Knee Injury)
Uejo S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Okayama: Kimura T.
(Injury)
Miyamoto E.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Takahashi N.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Okayama won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Cerezo Osaka?
Fagiano Okayama has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Fagiano Okayama?
Cerezo Osaka has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fagiano Okayama - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:
02.04.2025
Cerezo Osaka
-
Fagiano Okayama
2:1
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Verdy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Urawa Reds | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 5 | Machida | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 5 |
| 7 | Mito | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 8 | Chiba | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 10 | Kashiwa Reysol | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 0 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 8 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 5 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 8 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 9 | Okayama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
