Result
2:1
02/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 China | QQ Sports |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (314/390) | 79% (330/416) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (314/390) | 79% (330/416) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (21/56) | 40% (17/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (71/107) | 63% (75/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 22% (6/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.74 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 57 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 38 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Thiago Andrade ⚽, Rafael Ratao (A),
- 40', Hatanaka S. ↓, Nishio R. ↑,
- 44', 1 - 1, Sato R. ⚽, Kato H. (A),
- 45+2', Kudo K. 🟨,
- 45+3', 2 - 1, Rafael Ratao ⚽, Fernandes L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
- 57', Fujita I. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
- 59', Thiago Andrade ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,
- 59', Nakajima M. ↓, Kida H. ↑,
- 64', Kato H. ↓, Matsumoto M. ↑,
- 65', Lucao ↓, Browne N. ↑,
- 76', Esaka A. ↓, Ichimi K. ↑,
- 84', Noborizato K. ↓, Takahashi N. ↑,
- 85', Rafael Ratao ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
- 90+3', Fukui K. ↓, Kim Jin-Hyeon ↑,
- 90+4', Tabei R. ↓, Abe K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cerezo Osaka
43.7% | Draw
27.5% | Fagiano Okayama
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Cerezo Osaka have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(2.15) |
3.39 ↑
(3.31) |
3.25 ↓
(3.37) |
6.7%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Okayama will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerezo Osaka: 35% – 88%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 and 6).
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Cerezo Osaka will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Thiago Andrade
(Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cerezo Osaka won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Fagiano Okayama?
Cerezo Osaka has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Cerezo Osaka?
Fagiano Okayama has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 55 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 55 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 54 |
| 5 | Machida | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 46:32 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 35:21 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 53:38 | 15 | 48 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 39:31 | 8 | 47 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 43 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 46:41 | 5 | 42 |
| 11 | Okayama | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 26:29 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 37 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 36 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 34 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
| 16 | Verdy | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 16:29 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:38 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Shonan Bellmare | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:50 | -24 | 25 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:36 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 29 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27:49 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
