Result
2:1
02/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Australia | Optus Sport |
China | QQ Sports |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.22 | 1.16 |
Ball Possession |
---|
48% | 52% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
81% (314/390) | 79% (330/416) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.22 | 1.16 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.68 | 1.24 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 22 |
Through passes |
---|
0% (0/1) | 100% (1/1) |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
81% (314/390) | 79% (330/416) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (21/56) | 40% (17/42) |
Passes in final third |
---|
66% (71/107) | 63% (75/119) |
Crosses |
---|
40% (4/10) | 22% (6/27) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.45 | 0.74 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (10/15) | 70% (14/20) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 57 |
Clearances Total |
---|
38 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.24 | 1.68 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.24 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Thiago Andrade ⚽, Rafael Ratao (A),
- 40', Hatanaka S. ↓, Nishio R. ↑,
- 44', 1 - 1, Sato R. ⚽, Kato H. (A),
- 45+2', Kudo K. 🟨,
- 45+3', 2 - 1, Rafael Ratao ⚽, Fernandes L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
- 57', Fujita I. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
- 59', Thiago Andrade ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,
- 59', Nakajima M. ↓, Kida H. ↑,
- 64', Kato H. ↓, Matsumoto M. ↑,
- 65', Lucao ↓, Browne N. ↑,
- 76', Esaka A. ↓, Ichimi K. ↑,
- 84', Noborizato K. ↓, Takahashi N. ↑,
- 85', Rafael Ratao ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
- 90+3', Fukui K. ↓, Kim Jin-Hyeon ↑,
- 90+4', Tabei R. ↓, Abe K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cerezo Osaka 43.7% | Draw 27.5% | Fagiano Okayama 28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Cerezo Osaka have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.16 ↑ (2.15) |
3.39 ↑ (3.31) |
3.25 ↓ (3.37) |
6.7% (6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Okayama will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerezo Osaka: 35% – 88%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 and 6).
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Cerezo Osaka will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Thiago Andrade
(Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cerezo Osaka won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Fagiano Okayama?
Cerezo Osaka has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Cerezo Osaka?
Fagiano Okayama has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 38 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 32 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League