Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama
Result
2:1
02/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
chinaChinaQQ Sports
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.221.16
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
81% (314/390)79% (330/416)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.221.16
xG on target (xGOT)
1.681.24
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1922
Through passes
0% (0/1)100% (1/1)
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
81% (314/390)79% (330/416)
Long passes
38% (21/56)40% (17/42)
Passes in final third
66% (71/107)63% (75/119)
Crosses
40% (4/10)22% (6/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.450.74
Fouls
1212
Tackles
67% (10/15)70% (14/20)
Duels won
4557
Clearances Total
3819
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.241.68
Goals prevented
0.24-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Thiago Andrade , Rafael Ratao (A),
  • 40', Hatanaka S. , Nishio R. ,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Sato R. , Kato H. (A),
  • 45+2', Kudo K. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 2 - 1, Rafael Ratao , Fernandes L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Iwabuchi H. , Kimura T. ,
  • 57', Fujita I. , Kamiya Yuta ,
  • 59', Thiago Andrade , Shibayama M. ,
  • 59', Nakajima M. , Kida H. ,
  • 64', Kato H. , Matsumoto M. ,
  • 65', Lucao , Browne N. ,
  • 76', Esaka A. , Ichimi K. ,
  • 84', Noborizato K. , Takahashi N. ,
  • 85', Rafael Ratao , Kagawa S. ,
  • 90+3', Fukui K. , Kim Jin-Hyeon ,
  • 90+4', Tabei R. , Abe K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cerezo Osaka
43.7%
Draw
27.5%
Fagiano Okayama
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.7% 28.4% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 28.2% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Cerezo Osaka have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.15)
    3.39
    (3.31)
    3.25
    (3.37)
    6.7%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Okayama will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cerezo Osaka: 35%88%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 and 6).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Cerezo Osaka will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Thiago Andrade (Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.4:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cerezo Osaka won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto27156647:301751
    2Kashima Antlers27163840:261451
    3Machida28155842:261650
    4Kashiwa Reysol27148540:271350
    5Vissel Kobe28155836:261050
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima28154933:191449
    7Urawa Reds27128738:30844
    8Kawasaki Frontale27119745:351042
    9Okayama271161026:23339
    10Cerezo Osaka27108941:38338
    11Avispa Fukuoka27910827:26137
    12Gamba Osaka281141333:40-737
    13Shimizu S-Pulse27881130:35-532
    14Verdy27871216:28-1231
    15FC Tokyo27861329:41-1230
    16Nagoya Grampus27771333:41-828
    17Yokohama F. Marinos27671426:34-825
    18Shonan Bellmare27671422:42-2025
    19Yokohama FC27641718:35-1722
    20Albirex Niigata27481527:47-2020

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