Result
4:1
27/12/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 16
- Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3, COSMOTE Sport 5 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (549/618) | 79% (264/336) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (549/618) | 79% (264/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (27/43) | 45% (21/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (92/131) | 61% (46/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.42 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 36', 1 - 0, Meupiyou B. (Own goal),
- 43', 2 - 0, Begraoui Y. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Nuozzi C. ↓, Marezi ↑,
- 47', 3 - 0, Begraoui Y. ⚽, Carvalho J. (A),
- 49', Lincoln 🟨,
- 52', Carvalho P. 🟨,
- 55', Touaizi N. 🟨,
- 57', Carvalho J. ↓, Tsoungui A. ↑,
- 60', 4 - 0, Meupiyou B. (Own goal),
- 61', Marezi ↓, Leite T. ↑,
- 61', Lincoln ↓, Gui D. ↑,
- 67', 4 - 1, Amorim ⚽, Abdulai S. (A),
- 68', Amaral P. ↓, Pizzi ↑,
- 68', Carvalho P. ↓, Parente T. ↑,
- 74', Sandro Lima ↓, Felipe Lima ↑,
- 75', Meupiyou B. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
- 86', Martinez J. 🟨,
- 87', Marques A. ↓, Peixinho ↑,
- 88', Jandro ↓, Lominadze N. ↑,
- 90+2', Tsoungui A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Estoril Praia
42.4% | Draw
27.8% | Alverca
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Estoril Praia - Alverca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.51) |
3.4 ↑
(3.3) |
3.14 ↑
(3.04) |
6%
(3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Estoril Praia - Alverca?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Estoril will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%). Alverca will win (votes: 3 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estoril: 61.6% – 91.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Estoril (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 11).
- Estoril is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Alverca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Alverca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Estoril could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Estoril: Costa G.
(Injury)
Guitane R.
(International duty)
Sanchez R.
(Yellow Cards)
Xeka
(Injury)
- There will not play in Alverca: Diarra S.
(Muscle Injury)
Mendes T.
(Muscle Injury)
Paulo A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Estoril: Amaral P.
(Injury)
Israelov O.
(Thigh Injury)
Sanchez R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Alverca: Chiquinho
(Injury)
Leo Chu
(Injury)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Alverca?
Estoril Praia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against Estoril Praia?
Alverca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estoril Praia - Alverca were as follows:
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Latest results of Alverca
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 35:4 | 31 | 46 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 46:8 | 38 | 41 |
| 3 | Benfica | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 33:10 | 23 | 36 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 27 |
| 5 | Braga | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28:15 | 13 | 26 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:13 | 7 | 23 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 22 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 | Estoril | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 27:26 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Estrela | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 20:24 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19:28 | -9 | 17 |
| 12 | Alverca | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16:27 | -11 | 17 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11:15 | -4 | 16 |
| 14 | Nacional | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16:29 | -13 | 14 |
| 16 | Arouca | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:39 | -22 | 14 |
| 17 | Tondela | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9:27 | -18 | 9 |
| 18 | AFS | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11:41 | -30 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
