Result
4:0
14/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 14
- Referee: Macedo C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | TV Start |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (356/445) | 77% (280/363) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.79 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (356/445) | 77% (280/363) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (41/73) | 49% (23/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (84/125) | 54% (48/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 5% (1/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 3.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.67 | -0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Zabiri Y. ⚽, Sa G. (A),
- 18', Gil Dias 🟨,
- 24', 2 - 0, Sa G. ⚽,
- 38', Tsoungui A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Tsoungui A. ↓, Lominadze N. ↑,
- 50', 3 - 0, Gil Dias ⚽, Sorriso (A),
- 63', Sanchez R. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
- 63', Carvalho J. ↓, Pizzi ↑,
- 63', Boma K. ↓, Ferro ↑,
- 64', Pedro Bondo ↓, Rafa Soares ↑,
- 65', De Amorim M. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
- 69', Sa G. 🟨,
- 72', Van de Looi T. ↓, Pena M. ↑,
- 73', Gil Dias ↓, Beney R. ↑,
- 76', Amaral P. ↓, Parente T. ↑,
- 78', 4 - 0, Zabiri Y. ⚽,
- 80', Sorriso ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
- 80', Pena M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Famalicão
56% | Draw
24.6% | Estoril Praia
19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Famalicão - Estoril Praia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.83) |
3.85 ↑
(3.69) |
4.83 ↑
(4.16) |
5.5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Famalicão - Estoril Praia?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Famalicão will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Estoril will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Famalicão: 28.1% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Estoril (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Famalicão may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Famalicão is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Famalicão: Abubakar U.
(Inactive)
Aranda O.
(Knee Injury)
Beney R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Estoril: Guitane R.
(International duty)
Xeka
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Famalicão: Pastor G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Estoril: Costa G.
(Injury)
Israelov O.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Famalicão won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Estoril Praia?
Famalicão has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Famalicão?
Estoril Praia has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Famalicão - Estoril Praia were as follows:
22.11.2025
Estoril Praia
-
Famalicão
1:2
12.04.2025
Famalicão
-
Estoril Praia
3:0
01.12.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Famalicão
2:1
28.04.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Famalicão
1:0
17.12.2023
Famalicão
-
Estoril Praia
1:1
Latest results of Famalicão
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
