Result
1:2
08/12/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 15
- Referee: Turrini N. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (268/322) | 84% (378/449) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (268/322) | 84% (378/449) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (21/47) | 40% (16/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (93/127) | 72% (73/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (8/35) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.94 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', Bettella D. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 0, Mendes P. ⚽, Massolin Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Bettella D. ↓, Frosinini R. ↑,
- 52', Cassandro T. 🟨,
- 57', Rispoli F. ↓, Pittarello F. ↑,
- 62', Massolin Y. ↓, Di Mariano F. ↑,
- 62', Sersanti A. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Matias Antonini ⚽, Pontisso S. (A),
- 69', Beyuku G. ↓, Zanimacchia L. ↑,
- 69', Mendes P. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
- 75', Iemmello P. ↓, Buso N. ↑,
- 75', D'Alessandro M. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
- 84', Santoro S. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Pittarello F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+3', Pontisso S. ↓, Bashi E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Modena
57.9% | Draw
25.5% | Catanzaro
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Modena - Catanzaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.73) |
3.72 ↑
(3.56) |
5.62 ↑
(4.74) |
6.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Modena - Catanzaro?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 56% – 94%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Modena (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In recent matches, Modena has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Catanzaro is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Modena is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Modena: Cotali M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Catanzaro: Brighenti N.
(Yellow Cards)
Nuamah P.
(Inactive)
Pompetti M.
(Shin Injury)
Verrengia B.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Catanzaro?
Modena has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Modena?
Catanzaro has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Catanzaro were as follows:
29.03.2025
Modena
-
Catanzaro
2:1
06.10.2024
Catanzaro
-
Modena
2:2
12.04.2024
Modena
-
Catanzaro
1:3
04.11.2023
Catanzaro
-
Modena
1:2
Latest results of Catanzaro
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Frosinone | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 36:16 | 20 | 41 |
| 2 | Venezia | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 34:15 | 19 | 38 |
| 3 | Monza | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:15 | 12 | 37 |
| 4 | Palermo | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 34 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 31 |
| 6 | Cesena | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Modena | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 26:17 | 9 | 29 |
| 8 | Empoli | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 27 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | Padova | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Avellino | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 25:29 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Reggiana | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 23:28 | -5 | 20 |
| 14 | Sudtirol | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
| 15 | Entella | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 17:26 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 | Sampdoria | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19:27 | -8 | 17 |
| 17 | Spezia | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18:27 | -9 | 17 |
| 18 | Bari | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 16:29 | -13 | 17 |
| 19 | Mantova | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16:28 | -12 | 16 |
| 20 | Pescara | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 25:37 | -12 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
