Result
2:1
29/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 31
- Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (251/315) | 90% (449/499) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (251/315) | 90% (449/499) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (18/47) | 55% (22/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (66/96) | 77% (125/162) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 13% (4/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 75% (3/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 31 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 37 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | -1.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', Magnino L. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Magnino L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Quagliata G. ↓, Compagnon M. ↑,
- 46', Situm M. ↓, Cassandro T. ↑,
- 46', Mendes P. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
- 51', Gliozzi E. 🟨,
- 59', Buso N. ↓, Pittarello F. ↑,
- 60', Caso G. ↓, Duca E. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Iemmello P. ⚽, Scognamillo S. (A),
- 67', 2 - 1, Gliozzi E. ⚽, Palumbo A. (A),
- 74', Cassandro T. 🟨,
- 75', Santoro S. ↓, Beyuku G. ↑,
- 75', Di Pardo A. ↓, Battistella T. ↑,
- 75', Ilie R. ↓, Seck D. ↑,
- 79', Cotali M. 🟨,
- 83', Brighenti N. ↓, Biasci T. ↑,
- 84', Cotali M. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
- 90+1', Cauz C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Modena
45.8% | Draw
29.7% | Catanzaro
24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)The chances for Catanzaro have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Modena - Catanzaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(2.03) |
3.15 ↓
(3.2) |
3.83 ↓
(3.83) |
6.6%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Modena - Catanzaro?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8% – 69.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Recent matches Modena is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Catanzaro is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Modena will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Modena: Di Pardo A.
(Thigh Injury)
Pergreffi A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Catanzaro: La Mantia A.
(Inactive)
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Modena won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:7 (average 2:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Modena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Catanzaro?
Modena has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Modena?
Catanzaro has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Catanzaro were as follows:
06.10.2024
Catanzaro
-
Modena
2:2
12.04.2024
Modena
-
Catanzaro
1:3
04.11.2023
Catanzaro
-
Modena
1:2
Latest results of Catanzaro
Draw
Play OutFinal| 1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |
