Result
3:0
14/03/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 30
- Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3 |
 Usa | FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.06 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (215/295) | 86% (342/399) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 0.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (215/295) | 86% (342/399) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (19/54) | 55% (24/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (47/83) | 80% (97/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 9% (3/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.91 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.14 | 2.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Petagna A. ⚽,
- 28', Palumbo A. 🟨,
- 41', Hernani 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Hernani ↓, Bakoune A. ↑,
- 59', Pierozzi N. ↓, Avena P. ↑,
- 62', Ceccaroni P. 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 0, Ciurria P. ⚽, Azzi P. (A),
- 64', Ceccaroni P. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
- 64', Peda P. ↓, Magnani G. ↑,
- 71', Petagna A. ↓, Mota D. ↑,
- 71', Ciurria P. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
- 72', Le Douaron J. ↓, Corona G. ↑,
- 72', Segre J. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
- 75', Ravanelli L. 🟨,
- 77', Avena P. 🟨,
- 80', Ranocchia F. 🟨,
- 86', Cutrone P. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 0, Colombo L. ⚽, Azzi P. (A),
- 89', Azzi P. ↓, Brorsson A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Monza
44.3% | Draw
29.2% | Palermo
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Monza - Palermo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↓
(2.16) |
3.19 ↓
(3.23) |
3.56 ↑
(3.26) |
6.4%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Monza - Palermo?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Palermo will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Monza (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Monza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Monza might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Monza: Antov V.
(Knee Injury)
Carboni A.
(Red Card)
Galazzi N.
(Inactive)
Maric M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Monza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Monza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Palermo?
Monza has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Monza?
Palermo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Palermo were as follows:
28.10.2025
Palermo
-
Monza
0:3
20.07.2024
Monza
-
Palermo
0:1
Latest results of Palermo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 64:27 | 37 | 68 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 62:32 | 30 | 65 |
| 3 | Monza | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 50:26 | 24 | 65 |
| 4 | Palermo | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 52:27 | 25 | 61 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 49:38 | 11 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42:25 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 38:38 | 0 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 41:47 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 39 |
| 10 | Avellino | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 37:51 | -14 | 39 |
| 11 | Sudtirol | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 34:35 | -1 | 38 |
| 12 | Empoli | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 43:47 | -4 | 36 |
| 13 | Padova | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Mantova | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 36:48 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:45 | -14 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 30:50 | -20 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 31:46 | -15 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 30:49 | -19 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 43:58 | -15 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
