Result
0:3
28/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 10
- Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 2.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (314/387) | 75% (267/354) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 2.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 3.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (314/387) | 75% (267/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (33/57) | 46% (26/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (60/97) | 69% (64/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.43 | 0.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', Balde K. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Mota D. ⚽, Obiang P. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', 0 - 2, Izzo A. ⚽, Azzi P. (A),
- 55', Gomes C. ↓, Palumbo A. ↑,
- 61', Balde K. ↓, Colpani A. ↑,
- 64', Le Douaron J. ↓, Brunori M. ↑,
- 64', Segre J. ↓, Corona G. ↑,
- 74', Brunori M. 🟨,
- 74', Izzo A. 🟨,
- 77', Ranocchia F. ↓, Blin A. ↑,
- 77', Augello T. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
- 80', Mota D. ↓, Maric M. ↑,
- 80', Izzo A. ↓, Delli Carri F. ↑,
- 82', Birindelli S. 🟨,
- 85', Birindelli S. ↓, Carboni A. ↑,
- 85', Ciurria P. ↓, Brorsson A. ↑,
- 90+4', Ravanelli L. 🟨,
- 90+5', 0 - 3, Azzi P. ⚽, Colpani A. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/54xkuus8
Chances of winning
Palermo
40.9% | Draw
29.9% | Monza
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palermo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Palermo - Monza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(2.05) |
3.19 ↓
(3.5) |
3.19 ↓
(3.36) |
6.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Palermo - Monza?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Monza will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 47.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.9% – 69.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Palermo (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Monza (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Monza (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Palermo (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Monza (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- Palermo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Monza is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Palermo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Palermo: Bani M.
(Injury)
Gyasi E.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Monza: Alvarez A.
(Injury)
Antov V.
(Knee Injury)
Brorsson A.
(Inactive)
Forson O.
(Knee Injury)
Galazzi N.
(Injury)
Petagna A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Monza: Carboni A.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Palermo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Monza?
Palermo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Palermo?
Monza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - Monza were as follows:
20.07.2024
Monza
-
Palermo
0:1
Latest results of Palermo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 58:25 | 33 | 60 |
| 2 | Monza | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Palermo | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 46:21 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Modena | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:24 | 13 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Cesena | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 36:41 | -5 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Padova | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 34 |
| 11 | Empoli | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Avellino | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29:40 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 | Entella | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:40 | -14 | 28 |
| 17 | Mantova | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | Spezia | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 26 |
| 19 | Bari | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 25 |
| 20 | Pescara | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
