Result
1:2
03/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 32
- Referee: Guelho S. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (249/327) | 79% (315/400) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (249/327) | 79% (315/400) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (18/46) | 29% (15/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (69/111) | 55% (38/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 50% (5/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Tiago Silva ⚽,
- 34', Ramirez J. 🟨,
- 45', Tiago Silva 🟨,
- 45', Soumare D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Mendes J. ↓, Santos N. ↑,
- 59', Gustavo ↓, Felix V. ↑,
- 59', Ze Vitor 🟨,
- 61', Arcanjo T. 🟨,
- 66', 0 - 2, Ramirez J. ⚽, Santos N. (A),
- 67', Aurelio J. ↓, Garcia ↑,
- 67', Esteves L. ↓, Daniel Penha ↑,
- 74', Macedo R. ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
- 74', Soumare D. ↓, Labidi C. ↑,
- 74', Ramirez J. ↓, Oliveira N. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 2, Yamada F. ⚽, Paulinho Boia (A),
- 77', Jose Gomes ↓, Appiah A. ↑,
- 85', Handel T. ↓, Beni ↑,
- 85', Arcanjo T. ↓, Villanueva M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nacional
23.6% | Draw
26.6% | Vitoria Guimarães
49.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Nacional - Vitoria Guimarães Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.02 ↑
(3.94) |
3.57 ↑
(3.51) |
1.9 ↓
(1.93) |
5.7%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nacional - Vitoria Guimarães?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Guimarães will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 46.1% – 91.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Guimarães (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 2.
- Recent form of Nacional has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Guimarães is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Guimarães is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Nacional: Baeza M.
(Muscle Injury)
Fernandes I.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Guimarães: Embalo U.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Nacional: Sousa D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Nacional has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Nacional?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
23.12.2024
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Nacional
2:2
Latest results of Nacional
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 21 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:4 | 15 | 18 |
| 3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Moreirense | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Braga | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Santa Clara | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 10 | Arouca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:18 | -9 | 8 |
| 11 | Estrela | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Nacional | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Estoril | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Tondela | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:17 | -13 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
