Result
1:2
03/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 32
- Referee: Guelho S. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Romania | AntenaPLAY |
South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6 |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.74 | 0.88 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
76% (249/327) | 79% (315/400) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.74 | 0.88 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.42 | 1.39 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
11 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
2 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
76% (249/327) | 79% (315/400) |
Long passes |
---|
39% (18/46) | 29% (15/51) |
Passes in final third |
---|
62% (69/111) | 55% (38/69) |
Crosses |
---|
20% (5/25) | 50% (5/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.31 | 0.78 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
75% (6/8) | 77% (10/13) |
Duels won |
---|
36 | 43 |
Clearances |
---|
10 | 32 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.39 | 0.42 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.61 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Tiago Silva ⚽,
- 34', Ramirez J. 🟨,
- 45', Tiago Silva 🟨,
- 45', Soumare D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Mendes J. ↓, Santos N. ↑,
- 59', Gustavo ↓, Felix V. ↑,
- 59', Ze Vitor 🟨,
- 61', Arcanjo T. 🟨,
- 66', 0 - 2, Ramirez J. ⚽, Santos N. (A),
- 67', Aurelio J. ↓, Garcia ↑,
- 67', Esteves L. ↓, Daniel Penha ↑,
- 74', Macedo R. ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
- 74', Soumare D. ↓, Labidi C. ↑,
- 74', Ramirez J. ↓, Oliveira N. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 2, Yamada F. ⚽, Paulinho Boia (A),
- 77', Jose Gomes ↓, Appiah A. ↑,
- 85', Handel T. ↓, Beni ↑,
- 85', Arcanjo T. ↓, Villanueva M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nacional 23.6% | Draw 26.6% | Vitoria Guimarães 49.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Nacional - Vitoria Guimarães Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.02 ↑ (3.94) |
3.57 ↑ (3.51) |
1.9 ↓ (1.93) |
5.7% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nacional - Vitoria Guimarães?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Guimarães will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 46.1% – 91.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Guimarães (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 2.
- Recent form of Nacional has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Guimarães is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Guimarães is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Nacional: Baeza M.
(Muscle Injury)
Fernandes I.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Guimarães: Embalo U.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Nacional: Sousa D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Nacional has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Nacional?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
23.12.2024
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Nacional
2:2
Latest results of Nacional
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | AFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2