Result
02/01/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Vitoria Guimarães
49.6% | Draw
27.6% | Nacional
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Vitoria Guimarães - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.14) |
3.42 ↑
(3.35) |
4.08 ↑
(3.77) |
6.1%
(3.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Nacional?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Guimarães (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Vitoria Guimarães will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 2.
- Guimarães has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nacional is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Guimarães is the team to beat.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Nacional?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Nacional has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Nacional were as follows:
03.05.2025
Nacional
-
Vitoria Guimarães
1:2
23.12.2024
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Nacional
2:2
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Latest results of Nacional
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 35:4 | 31 | 46 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 46:8 | 38 | 41 |
| 3 | Benfica | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 33:10 | 23 | 36 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 27 |
| 5 | Braga | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28:15 | 13 | 26 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:13 | 7 | 23 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 22 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 | Estoril | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 27:26 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Estrela | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 20:24 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19:28 | -9 | 17 |
| 12 | Alverca | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16:27 | -11 | 17 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11:15 | -4 | 16 |
| 14 | Nacional | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16:29 | -13 | 14 |
| 16 | Arouca | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:39 | -22 | 14 |
| 17 | Tondela | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9:27 | -18 | 9 |
| 18 | AFS | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11:41 | -30 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
