Result
1:3
21/02/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.34 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (412/490) | 77% (264/345) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (412/490) | 77% (264/345) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (28/52) | 32% (19/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (110/155) | 66% (83/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 0.84 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.20 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Kimura Y. 🟨,
- 26', Hasegawa M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Koda H. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
- 58', 0 - 1, Thiago ⚽, Matheus Jesus (A),
- 67', Tokumoto S. ↓, Yamanaka R. ↑,
- 68', Thiago ↓, Campbell N. ↑,
- 76', Yamada R. ↓, Diego Pituca ↑,
- 78', 0 - 2, Campbell N. ⚽, Yoneda S. (A),
- 80', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Mori S. ↑,
- 80', Nakayama K. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
- 80', Hara T. ↓, Mikuni K. ↑,
- 84', Egawa Y. ↓, Kushibiki K. ↑,
- 84', Hasegawa M. ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Asano Y. ⚽,
- 90+6', 1 - 3, Campbell N. ⚽, Matheus Jesus (A),
Chances of winning
Nagoya Grampus
49.5% | Draw
27.3% | V-Varen Nagasaki
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Nagoya Grampus - V-Varen Nagasaki Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.87) |
3.43 ↓
(3.58) |
4.04 ↓
(4.09) |
6.6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - V-Varen Nagasaki?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Nagoya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nagoya is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Nagoya: Koyamatsu T.
(Injury)
Mateus
(Injury)
Morishima T.
(Injury)
Uchida T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in V-Varen Nagasaki: Dudu Giusti
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nagoya: Izumi R.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against V-Varen Nagasaki?
Nagoya Grampus has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has V-Varen Nagasaki won against Nagoya Grampus?
V-Varen Nagasaki has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - V-Varen Nagasaki were as follows:
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Latest results of V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Machida | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Verdy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 6 | FC Tokyo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Mito | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 10 | Chiba | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | 2 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Gamba Osaka | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 5 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 6 | Nagoya Grampus | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 9 | Okayama | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
