Result
1:0
02/11/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 11
- Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, Destination Calcio, LAB Channel |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (535/602) | 71% (187/264) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (535/602) | 71% (187/264) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (28/44) | 29% (17/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (128/163) | 50% (31/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (8/29) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 67% (4/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Ciurria P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Lapadula G. 🟨,
- 53', 1 - 0, Ravanelli L. ⚽,
- 57', Vlahovic V. ↓, Di Serio G. ↑,
- 68', Mota D. ↓, Maric M. ↑,
- 68', Balde K. ↓, Caprari G. ↑,
- 75', Izzo A. 🟨,
- 76', Ciurria P. ↓, Galazzi N. ↑,
- 76', Colpani A. ↓, Birindelli S. ↑,
- 77', Cassata F. ↓, Soleri E. ↑,
- 77', Candela A. ↓, Kouda R. ↑,
- 79', Fellipe Jack 🟨,
- 84', Mateju A. ↓, Hristov P. ↑,
- 84', Vignali L. ↓, Candelari P. ↑,
- 86', Izzo A. 🟨,
- 88', Galazzi N. ↓, Delli Carri F. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/y6nuvz4d
Chances of winning
Monza
47.7% | Draw
28.7% | Spezia
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Monza - Spezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.05) |
3.24 ↓
(3.39) |
3.89 ↑
(3.32) |
7.2%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Monza - Spezia?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Spezia will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 35.2% – 84.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Monza (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monza will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Monza (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Monza is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Spezia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Monza is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Monza: Alvarez A.
(Injury)
Antov V.
(Knee Injury)
Forson O.
(Knee Injury)
Petagna A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Spezia: Bandinelli F.
(Broken Leg)
Zurkowski S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Spezia: Artistico G.
(Inactive)
Cistana A.
(Inactive)
Comotto C.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Monza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Monza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Spezia?
Monza has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Monza?
Spezia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Spezia were as follows:
09.10.2022
Monza
-
Spezia
2:0
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 46:22 | 24 | 50 |
| 2 | Monza | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 36:19 | 17 | 47 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 41:21 | 20 | 46 |
| 4 | Palermo | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 39:19 | 20 | 45 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 38 |
| 6 | Modena | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 31:19 | 12 | 37 |
| 7 | Cesena | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32:30 | 2 | 37 |
| 8 | Juve Stabia | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 27:26 | 1 | 35 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 31:33 | -2 | 30 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 23 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 29 |
| 11 | Padova | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 29 |
| 12 | Empoli | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 13 | Avellino | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 26 |
| 15 | Entella | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 | Reggiana | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
| 17 | Mantova | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 24:38 | -14 | 23 |
| 18 | Spezia | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 20:30 | -10 | 21 |
| 19 | Bari | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 19:36 | -17 | 20 |
| 20 | Pescara | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 27:48 | -21 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
