Result
4:2
07/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 29
- Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
 Usa | FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.77 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (298/381) | 78% (296/379) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.45 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (298/381) | 78% (296/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/56) | 37% (19/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (76/117) | 56% (51/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 0% (0/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.77 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 3.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.77 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, Petagna A. ⚽, Cutrone P. (A),
- 10', Carboni A. 🟨,
- 16', 0 - 2, Cutrone P. ⚽, Petagna A. (A),
- 20', 1 - 2, Artistico G. ⚽, Aurelio G. (A),
- 32', Carboni A. 🟨,
- 34', Petagna A. ↓, Lucchesi L. ↑,
- 34', 2 - 2, Aurelio G. ⚽,
- 38', Aurelio G. 🟨,
- 45+1', Sernicola L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Colpani A. ↓, Brorsson A. ↑,
- 57', 3 - 2, Bandinelli F. ⚽,
- 60', Bandinelli F. ↓, Nagy A. ↑,
- 63', Artistico G. 🟨,
- 65', Pessina M. ↓, Hernani ↑,
- 65', Caso G. ↓, Mota D. ↑,
- 68', Valoti M. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
- 72', Lucchesi L. 🟨,
- 76', Cutrone P. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
- 85', Comotto C. ↓, Bellemo A. ↑,
- 85', Beruatto P. ↓, Hristov P. ↑,
- 90+3', 4 - 2, Artistico G. ⚽, Sernicola L. (A),
Chances of winning
Spezia
25.1% | Draw
28.2% | Monza
46.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Spezia - Monza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.76 ↑
(3.56) |
3.3 ↑
(3.15) |
2.01 ↓
(2.09) |
6.6%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Spezia - Monza?
Users Predictions:
Monza will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monza will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- Spezia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Monza is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Spezia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Monza might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Spezia: Cassata F.
(Muscle Injury)
Lapadula G.
(Inactive)
Ruggero M.
(Yellow Cards)
Sarr M.
(Ankle Injury)
Zurkowski S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Monza: Antov V.
(Knee Injury)
Azzi P.
(Red Card)
Galazzi N.
(Inactive)
Maric M.
(Inactive)
Ravanelli L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Spezia: Mateju A.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Spezia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Monza?
Spezia has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Spezia?
Monza has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Monza were as follows:
02.11.2025
Monza
-
Spezia
1:0
09.10.2022
Monza
-
Spezia
2:0
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 64:27 | 37 | 68 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 62:32 | 30 | 65 |
| 3 | Monza | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 50:26 | 24 | 65 |
| 4 | Palermo | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 52:27 | 25 | 61 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 49:38 | 11 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42:25 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 38:38 | 0 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 41:47 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 39 |
| 10 | Avellino | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 37:51 | -14 | 39 |
| 11 | Sudtirol | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 34:35 | -1 | 38 |
| 12 | Empoli | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 43:47 | -4 | 36 |
| 13 | Padova | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Mantova | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 36:48 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:45 | -14 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 30:50 | -20 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 31:46 | -15 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 30:49 | -19 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 43:58 | -15 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
