Result
06/05/2026 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
V-Varen Nagasaki
36.8% | Draw
29.8% | Fagiano Okayama
33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
V-Varen Nagasaki - Fagiano Okayama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.45) |
3.13 ↓
(3.15) |
2.8
(2.8) |
6.9%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 1.
- Recent form of V-Varen Nagasaki has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Okayama has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- V-Varen Nagasaki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, V-Varen Nagasaki won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has V-Varen Nagasaki won against Fagiano Okayama?
V-Varen Nagasaki has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against V-Varen Nagasaki?
Fagiano Okayama has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between V-Varen Nagasaki - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
21.03.2026
Fagiano Okayama
-
V-Varen Nagasaki
0:1
29.09.2024
Fagiano Okayama
-
V-Varen Nagasaki
1:0
12.05.2024
V-Varen Nagasaki
-
Fagiano Okayama
0:0
16.07.2023
Fagiano Okayama
-
V-Varen Nagasaki
2:2
17.05.2023
V-Varen Nagasaki
-
Fagiano Okayama
0:0
Latest results of V-Varen Nagasaki
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 34 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 29:13 | 32 |
| 3 | Machida | 13 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Verdy | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20:16 | 24 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 20:25 | 20 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 20:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Mito | 14 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:28 | 18 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21:26 | 16 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13:26 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 23:18 | 26 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 15 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 28:21 | 25 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 20 |
| 6 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Okayama | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18:27 | 18 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14:22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
